November 19, 2002
Remote prayer report misrepresented its data. Wired Magazine has
uncovered evidence that data used to obtain two federal research grants
totaling $1.5 million were represented as positive even though they were
not. [Bronson P. A prayer before dying. Wired Magazine, Dec 2002] http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/10.12/prayer.html The research, done by the late
Elisabeth Targ, M.D. and colleagues, involved 40 patients with advanced
AIDS who were randomly selected for either "distant healing"
or a control group. The "healers," many of whom were located
thousands of miles away, performed various prayer-based ministrations
after receiving photographs of the patients. After six months, the
researchers concluded that the subjects who were not prayed for had
spent 6 times as many days in the hospital and contracted 3 times as
many AIDS-related illnesses. [Sicher F, Targ E, and others A randomized
double-blind study of the effect of distant healing in a population with
advanced AIDS. Report of a small scale study. Western Journal of Medicine
169:356-363, 1998] http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/htbin-post/Entrez/query?db=m&form=6&dopt=r&uid=9 866433 The researchers
subsequently were funded by the NIH Center for Complementary and
Alternative Medicine to conduct two 150-patient trials -- one on brain
cancer, and the other to redo the AIDS study.
Wired Magazine has reported that the study was "unblinded and then
reblinded to scour for data that confirmed the thesis" and that the
journal editors did not know this fact when they decided to publish. The
study was designed to measure death rates. When the data showed no
difference between the prayer and control groups, the researchers
conducted a chart review that was not properly blinded, looked for other
differences, and reported that several were statistically significant.
This analysis was improper because when many endpoints are examined, the
odds of finding a few that appear significant are much higher than the
odds of a single endpoint selected in advance proving significant. Wired
referred to this as "the sharpshooter's fallacy -- spraying bullets
randomly, then drawing a target circle around a cluster" and
calling it significant.
Elisabeth Targ, a lifetime believer in parapsychology, was the daughter
of Russell Targ, a prominent parapsychologist who believed that some
people could view objects at great distances through psychic means, a
practice referred to as "remote viewing." In April 2002,
Elisabeth was diagnosed as having an incurable glioblastoma multiforme,
the very same brain tumor that her remote healing research would study.
She died four months later despite the efforts of "healers"
and other believers worldwide who prayed for her.